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Smartphones to dominate by 2008
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By Jørgen Sundgot, Wednesday 15 January 2003  
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According to a new study by Allied Business Intelligence, mobile phones will be little more than a faint memory by 2008, when Smartphones dominate the wireless handset market.
A migration trend is emerging among wireless users toward feature rich devices that incorporate color screens and advanced data and messaging applications, including navigation, multimedia messaging (MMS), and instant messaging, among others. According to a new Allied Business Intelligence study, this trend will by 2008 almost have eradicated mobile phones as we know them today - leaving Smartphones as the evolutionary winner.
According to the study, the primary catalysts of this trend are a combination of factors. For one, wireless handset penetration continues to grow, moving the market from one characterized by initial penetration to that of replacement with next generation devices. Secondly, wireless operators are under increased pressure to drive what is known as higher average revenue per subscriber (ARPU) and are doing so by adding data services and "infotainment" content available to newer technology handsets.
The study claims that the number of replacement handsets shipped will grow from 211 million in 2002 to 591 million units in 2008, representing nearly 85% of all shipments worldwide at that time.
Only about 15% of the estimated 406 million handsets shipped in 2002 incorporated color displays. The study expects this number to jump to 97% by 2008, signaling a goodbye to monochrome handsets - hopefully with improved battery life for color handsets, as one of the major drawbacks of current smartphones relates to poor battery life.
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| Hands-on impressions, news, reviews, prices and release dates; now all-in-one-page: |
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